In various “e-learning prediction lists” at the start of 2009 and 2010, Mobile Learning was near the top—many people spoke along the lines of mobile learning "really taking off" this year.

A notable exception was by Tony Carrer, who spoke about “niche growth” in mobile learning. It's a difficult prediction to make, because it's about people and attitudes—and not so much about technology. It's about people wanting to process information anytime/anywhere. But on the other hand, the devices make all the difference at the practical level. It's unappealing to look at a small screen for any considerable period of time. (We do it with text messages and e-mail, but that's out of habit!)

Talking about devices: I haven't used a Kindle, but I've seen a very large number of good reviews. Going by those, I'm ready to believe that it feels better than a paper book. Devices that make it easy on the eyes and hands might just be the deciders for mobile learning. They're there, but not too many people are used to the idea... and even fewer actually have one.